Inside Unmanned Systems

APR-MAY 2018

Inside Unmanned Systems provides actionable business intelligence to decision-makers and influencers operating within the global UAS community. Features include analysis of key technologies, policy/regulatory developments and new product design.

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AIR DEFENSE 48   April/May 2018 unmanned systems inside A recent market study forecast a 36 percent rise in annual global spending on military UAVs by 2027 with non-U.S. markets making up a steadily increasing share. That could be a particular opportunity for U.S. manufacturers given recent talk by the White House of easier export controls but Israel is already a well-placed competitor and China has its hopes set on the export market too. by Dee Ann Divis E nergized by lessons from the conf licts in Iraq and Afghanistan, countries around the world are expected to continue adding unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) to their military arsenals, driving up annual global spending for defense drones by 36 percent over the coming decade. That g row t h in spend ing ref lec t s a jump from $9.6 billion in unclassified procure- ment and RDT&E (research, development, test and evaluation) from fiscal year 2018 (FY18) to about $13 billion in FY27 inclusive, accord- ing to the Teal Group, which recently released its market study World Military Unmanned Aerial Systems: Market Profile and Forecast. From FY18 through FY27 military officials are expected to spend a total of $28.1 billion on RTD&E and $83.7 billion on procurement. "I see it as a growth industry—absolutely— because people have had the opportunity to ob- serve us now, and so now you see other nations and you see non-nation states taking advantage of this technology," said retired Army Lt. Gen. Ron Burgess, who is now senior counsel for na- tional security programs, cyber programs and military affairs at Auburn University. That steady expansion means the value of the market for military UAVs will continue to be larger than that of the individual markets for civil, consumer or commercial missions—at least for the next 10 years. MILITARY UAV World Military UAS Budget Forecast R&D and Procurement 0 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 $ FY18 Billions RoW=Rest of World; U.S. figures do not include speculative classified spending. U.S. Proc U.S. R&D RoW Procurement RoW R&D World Military UAS Budget Forecast Plus Speculative U.S. Classified 0 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 $ FY18 Billions U.S. Proc U.S. R&D U.S. Classified Proc. U.S. Classfied R&D RoW Proc. RoW R&D Source: Teal Group Chart 2 Chart 1

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