Inside Unmanned Systems

APR-MAY 2018

Inside Unmanned Systems provides actionable business intelligence to decision-makers and influencers operating within the global UAS community. Features include analysis of key technologies, policy/regulatory developments and new product design.

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$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 49 April/May 2018 unmanned systems inside ENGINEERING. PRACTICE. POLICY. NO MICRO UAVS The numbers are as interesting for what they do not include as for what they do. Teal did not try to estimate the impact of new regional conf licts, though the study authors said, "such events are quite likely." Also not considered are more "drastic" events such as an escalation in the dispute over the is- lands in the East China Sea. One thing that has been left out for the sake of clarity are the micro UAVs—the re- ally small quadcoptors and other unmanned aircraft valued at less than $10,000. Including micro UAVs "can distort the pic- ture of what's really happening," study co- author Steven Zaloga said. "So one year the forecast for the United States will be, say, six thousand UAVs—of which maybe 50 are the large substantial UAV's and the remaining 5,550 are these little small things. Then the next year it will drop to 50 because they're not buying the small stuff." It makes it look like the market disappeared, he said. Zaloga pointed out there's no real pro- gram of record in the U.S. for a militarized quadcopter and he doesn't think that will change in the immediate future. The U.S. Army isn't under pressure to buy large quantities of small UAVs as long as there's not a lot of infantry style fighting going on, he said. The services also want something that is more secure and, most importantly, has a battery that enables longer endurance f lights—something, Zaloga believes, they are expecting the private sector to produce without prodding. MARKET $ 83B Global Military UAS Budget Forecast FY18 to FY27 UAV Production By Region BY THE NUMBERS $9.6 billion Rest of the World billion $13.0 ¢ 3.08% Compound Annual Growth FY2018 FY2027 4,211 5,381 4,770 Annual Procurement and R&D Forecast Fiscal Year 2018 (millions) Annual Procurement and R&DForecast Fiscal Year 2027 (millions) 8,244 TO TOP Source: Teal Group Country/Region 2017 2026 $ Millions # of Units $ Millions # of Units USA 1,755 1,179 4,400 2,530 Asia-Pacifi c 1,092 724 2,523 1,134 Europe 714 666 1,524 972 Mid-East 609 509 1,534 273 Africa 20 12 114 113 Americas 1 27 213 32 Table 1 $ $ $ $ Total Global Military UAS Budget for 10 Year Period (billions) $83.7 Procurement $28.1 R&D $111.8 Total

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